Table of Contents
Time-Series Forecasting for Annual Data
Learning Objectives
What Is Forecasting?
Forecasting Approaches
Quantitative Forecasting Steps
Quantitative Forecasting Methods
What’s a Time Series?
Time Series Components
Trend Component
Cyclical Component
Seasonal Component
Irregular Component
Multiplicative Time-Series Model
Time Series Forecasting
Moving Average Method
Moving Average Example
Moving Average Solution
Moving Average Solution
Moving Average Graph
Time Series Forecasting
Exponential Smoothing Method
Exponential Smoothing Equations
Exponential Smoothing Example
Exponential Smoothing Solution
Exponential Smoothing Graph
Selecting Smoothing Coefficient (W)
Time Series Forecasting
Linear Time-Series Forecasting Model
Linear Time-Series Model
Linear Time-Series Model Solution
PPT Slide
Minitab Time Series Plot
Minitab Time Series Linear Regression
Using Linear Trend to Forecast Example
Choosing an Appropriate Forecasting Model
Pattern of Forecast Error
Forecast Error Equation
Selecting Forecasting Model Example
Linear Model Evaluation
Exponential Smoothing Model Evaluation
Conclusion
Summary Chart
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Author: Revision: Gerald Clarke Original: John J. McGill
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