POSITION PANEL INSTRUCTIONS
FOR GLOBAL WARMING SCORE SHEET (PP-2)|
- Indicate the position of each organization for each of the questions by placing a number in the appropriate box on the Score Sheet. The meanings of the numbers are as follows:
|+1||The organization considers the answer to be 'Yes'|
|-1||The organization considers the answer to be 'No'|
|0||The organization considers that there are disagreements as to what is the correct answer|
|0||The organization does not address the question|
- Go down the sheet and total the numbers in the column for each organization. Then, write the totals in the bottom row, labeled 'POSITION TOTALS'.
- Go across the sheet and total the numbers in the row for each question. Then, write the totals in the extreme right column labeled 'CONSENSUS TOTAL'.
- Examine the partly filled out example shown below for eight imaginary organizations.
FOR GLOBAL WARMING POSITION INDEX TABLE (PP-3)
Determine the 'Position Index' value (on a scale of 4 to -4) of each organization:
- On the Position Index Table, for each organization, place an X in the column that corresponds to the Position Total value located in the bottom row of the Global Warming Score Sheet.
- Read off the acceptance-rejection description that corresponds to the Index value.
- Example: for the "BLUE" organization, on the Score Sheet, the Position Total value = 3. On the Position Index Table, an Index value of 3 corresponds to 'accept strongly'. That is, the Blue organization strongly accepts the hypothesis of anthropogenic global warming.
FOR GLOBAL WARMING CONSENSUS INDEX TABLE (PP-4)
- Determine the 'Consensus Index' value (on a scale of 8 to -8) for each question:
- On the Consensus Index Table, for each question, place an X in the column that corresponds to the Consensus Total value located in the furthest right column of the Global Warming Score Sheet.
- Read off the 'degree of consensus' description that corresponds to the Index value.
- Example: for Question 2 on the Score Sheet, the Consensus Total value = 4. On the Consensus Index Table, an Index value of 4 corresponds to a degree of consensus that is "some for 'yes'". That is, there is some degree of consensus amongst all the organizations that the answer to the question "Is the Greenhouse Effect hypothesis accepted by the scientific community?", is 'Yes'.
- Determine the 'Consensus Index Average':
- Total the index values for all the questions and divide the sum by the number of questions.
- Enter the average in the Consensus Average Index Box.
- Note the 'degree of consensus' description to which the average corresponds.
- EXAMPLE (see below): The total of the index values/the number of questions = 8/4 = 2. This value corresponds to a 'none to little' degree of consensus. That is, as a whole there is no to little consensus concerning answers to the four questions.
- Determine the priority direction for future research. The guiding principle will be that those questions for whose answers there is least consensus should receive highest priority for further investigation.
- List those questions with indices from 2 to -2 after the word 'highest'.
- List those questions with indices from 3 to 5 or -3 to -5 after the word 'intermediate'.
- List those questions with indices from 6 to 8 or -6 to -8 after the word 'least'.
- EXAMPLE (see below): Highest priority should be given to research upon question 4; intermediate priority to questions 1 and 2; least priority to question 3.
David J. Leveson & Wayne G. Powell