The CIA and the End of the Cold War


Mikhail Gorbachev, with Ronald Reagan and George Bush. Gorbachev's accession to power helped bring to an end the Cold War.

 

 

Assessing the Soviet threat represented the most important reason for the founding of the CIA, and, as we have seen throughout the term, became one of its most controversial tasks--just think of Team B. So how did the agency fare in terms of understanding the end of the Cold War? That's today's subject. All the documents are CIA National Intelligence Estimates, all recently declassified as part of Langley's own program of glasnost.

READING:

bullet Andrew, For the President’s Eyes Only, pp. 457-536
bullet Gerald Haines, "At Cold War's End"
bullet CIA case study, "US and Saddam, 1988-1990

CIA policy analyses:

bullet Analyzing Gorbachev's chances for success (1988)
bullet Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan (1988)
bullet "Alternative Soviet futures" (1991)